Benevento 2-0 Brindisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.6pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.7pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Brindisi EU Bookmakers 14%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.85/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.72
+2% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Brindisi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
25.09.2023 Brindisi Brindisi 0-1 HT 0-1 Benevento Benevento İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
2-0
AWAY Brindisi
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Brindisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento got the better of Brindisi 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Benevento had 57% of the ball to Brindisi's 43%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Brindisi?

Benevento 2-0 Brindisi in the Italy - Serie C on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Brindisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Benevento 60%, draw 21%, Brindisi 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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