Triestina 1-2 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.27
No
49%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.59
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-13.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.8pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +27%
1.54/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.21
-11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Pro Patria
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-3 HT 0-3 Triestina Triestina İTC
12.03.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
06.11.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-1 HT 2-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
04.05.2022 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
02.04.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-0 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
28.11.2021 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
1-2
AWAY Pro Patria
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria edged past Triestina 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Triestina had 54% of the ball to Pro Patria's 46%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Triestina and 0.67 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Pro Patria?

Triestina 1-2 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Triestina 47%, draw 27%, Pro Patria 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Triestina), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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