Carrarese 1-0 Olbia 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.13
6+ Goals
7%
20.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 34% vs market 29.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+2.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Olbia 1905 EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.51/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.78
-13% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Olbia 1905
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
18.03.2023 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 1-1 HT 1-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
20.11.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 1-0 HT 0-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
15.03.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 1-1 HT 1-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
07.11.2021 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 4-1 HT 2-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
07.04.2021 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 1-0 HT 1-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
1-0
AWAY Olbia 1905
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Olbia 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese nicked a narrow win over Olbia 1905 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carrarese as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Carrarese had 67% of the ball to Olbia 1905's 33%, shots finished 19-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olbia 1905 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Carrarese and 1.17 for Olbia 1905.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Olbia 1905?

Carrarese 1-0 Olbia 1905 in the Italy - Serie C on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Olbia 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 62%, draw 24%, Olbia 1905 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrarese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carrarese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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