Padova Calcio 4-0 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
5.21
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.68/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.46
-2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.10.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-2 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
12.03.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
06.11.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-2 HT 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
06.10.2019 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
4-0
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio swept aside Arzignano Valchiampo 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 47% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 53%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Padova Calcio and 0.75 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Padova Calcio 4-0 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 49%, draw 28%, Arzignano Valchiampo 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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