União de Leiria U23 0-1 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 15 Dec 2025

📅15/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.66/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.90
+20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME União de Leiria U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Farense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 0-1 União de Leiria U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME União de Leiria U23
0-1
AWAY Farense U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH União de Leiria U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 edged past União de Leiria U23 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Farense U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, União de Leiria U23 had 51% of the ball to Farense U23's 49%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of União de Leiria U23 vs Farense U23?

União de Leiria U23 0-1 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 15/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for União de Leiria U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a União de Leiria U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split União de Leiria U23 40%, draw 26%, Farense U23 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (União de Leiria U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (União de Leiria U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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