Farense U23 0-1 União de Leiria U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.91
Over 2.5
60%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.68
No
36%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
40%
-10.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+8.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
56%
+8.7pp
36%
BTTS No
44%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
5.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+150% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
0-1
AWAY União de Leiria U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs União de Leiria U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

União de Leiria U23 edged past Farense U23 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had União de Leiria U23 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farense U23 had 56% of the ball to União de Leiria U23's 44%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Farense U23 0-1 União de Leiria U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an União de Leiria U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 30%, draw 28%, União de Leiria U23 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (União de Leiria U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (União de Leiria U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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