Estoril U23 3-3 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.18/2.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.49
-27% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Estrela U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 4-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
10.01.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-2 HT 1-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
26.11.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 3-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
27.08.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
05.03.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
16.01.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
3-3
AWAY Estrela U23
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 and Estrela U23 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 59% of the ball to Estrela U23's 41%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estrela U23 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Estoril U23 and 1.83 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23?

Estoril U23 3-3 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 42%, draw 22%, Estrela U23 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
30 Sep 2025
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