Estoril U23 0-1 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 19%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+93% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Estrela U23
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
16.01.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
19.09.2023 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-2 HT 1-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
0-1
AWAY Estrela U23
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 squeezed past Estoril U23 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Estoril U23 carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 65% of the ball to Estrela U23's 35%, shots finished 24-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Estoril U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Estoril U23 and 0.67 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23?

Estoril U23 0-1 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 55%, draw 25%, Estrela U23 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
27 Aug 2024
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