Mafra U23 1-1 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Farense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.04.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 3-2 HT 1-1 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
1-1
AWAY Farense U23
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 and Farense U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Farense U23 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 57% of the ball to Farense U23's 43%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Farense U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mafra U23 and 1.50 for Farense U23.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Farense U23?

Mafra U23 1-1 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 27%, draw 28%, Farense U23 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farense U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farense U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
27 Aug 2024
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