Farense U23 3-2 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.5pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
+22% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -57%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mafra U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
20.02.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
3-2
AWAY Mafra U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 edged past Mafra U23 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Farense U23 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Farense U23 had 52% of the ball to Mafra U23's 48%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Mafra U23?

Farense U23 3-2 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 42%, draw 28%, Mafra U23 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense U23), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ BTTS Yes
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