Portimonense U23 0-4 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.51
-19% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 4
19.02.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 1-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
0-4
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 swept aside Portimonense U23 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Braga U23 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 42% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 58%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Portimonense U23 0-4 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 27%, draw 29%, Sporting Braga U23 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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