Sporting Braga U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 24%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+58% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga U23
1-0
AWAY Portimonense U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 nicked a narrow win over Portimonense U23 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Braga U23 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sporting Braga U23 had 56% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 44%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Sporting Braga U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga U23 50%, draw 25%, Portimonense U23 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
19 Feb 2024
14:00 Leixoes U23 vs Santa Clara U23 Analysis →