Leixoes U23 1-2 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
16%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
1-2
AWAY Santa Clara U23
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 edged past Leixoes U23 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Santa Clara U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 42% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 58%, shots finished 8-19.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Leixoes U23 1-2 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 37%, draw 28%, Santa Clara U23 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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