Estrela U23 3-2 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+8.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-8.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Estoril U23
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
05.03.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
16.01.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
19.09.2023 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-2 HT 1-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
3-2
AWAY Estoril U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 edged past Estoril U23 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril U23 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 47% of the ball to Estoril U23's 53%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Estoril U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Estrela U23 and 1.25 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Estoril U23?

Estrela U23 3-2 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 33%, draw 24%, Estoril U23 43%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Under 2.5
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
26 Nov 2024
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