Farense U23 5-1 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+16% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +79%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Mafra U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
26.04.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 3-2 HT 1-1 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
5-1
AWAY Mafra U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 ran out comfortable winners over Mafra U23 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Farense U23 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Farense U23 had 55% of the ball to Mafra U23's 45%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Farense U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Farense U23 and 1.00 for Mafra U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Mafra U23?

Farense U23 5-1 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 41%, draw 24%, Mafra U23 34%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
26 Nov 2024
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