Santa Clara U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.66
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.91
Over 2.5
59%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
56%
+3.5pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.8pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.6pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 23%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.59
-40% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Portimonense U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.04.2025 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 0-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
05.02.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
04.12.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 0-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
17.09.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 3-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
04.03.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
16.01.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
1-0
AWAY Portimonense U23
70% Ball Possession 30%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 nicked a narrow win over Portimonense U23 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Clara U23 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 70% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 30%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense U23 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santa Clara U23 and 1.00 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Santa Clara U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 60%, draw 19%, Portimonense U23 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
30 Sep 2025
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