Santa Clara U23 0-1 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.40/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.86
+35% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Portimonense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.09.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 3-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
04.03.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
16.01.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
0-1
AWAY Portimonense U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 nicked a narrow win over Santa Clara U23 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Clara U23 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 48% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 52%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Clara U23 and 1.33 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Santa Clara U23 0-1 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 47%, draw 26%, Portimonense U23 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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