Estoril U23 1-2 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.81
No
40%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
15%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
60%
-14.2pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.3pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.4pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
3.00/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.50
+89% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Estrela U23
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 3-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
27.08.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
05.03.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
16.01.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
19.09.2023 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-2 HT 1-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
1-2
AWAY Estrela U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 edged past Estoril U23 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril U23 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 55% of the ball to Estrela U23's 45%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Estoril U23 and 1.20 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23?

Estoril U23 1-2 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 45%, draw 29%, Estrela U23 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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