Leixoes U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
2%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Portimonense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
05.02.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
1-0
AWAY Portimonense U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes U23 edged past Portimonense U23 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Portimonense U23 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 46% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 54%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portimonense U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leixoes U23 and 1.50 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Leixoes U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 27%, draw 29%, Portimonense U23 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Portimonense U23), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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