Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 16 Jan 2025

Al Ittihad-Jeddah
4-1 HT 2-0
Al Raed
📅16/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Raed Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.28
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.07
2-3 Goals
35%
1.94
4-5 Goals
30%
2.55
6+ Goals
14%
6.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-14.9pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.8pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+9.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ittihad-Jeddah v Al Raed — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +18%
2.11/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.97
+4% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
480 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
18.5 Crosses 10.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Raed Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Raed
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.86 xG 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
431 Passes 271
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
14.08.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
23.02.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
09.09.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
14.01.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
16.08.2021 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-0 HT 3-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 Al Raed — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
4-1
AWAY Al Raed
1.45 xG 0.87
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
600 Passes 349
92% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah swept aside Al Raed 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 61% of the ball to Al Raed's 39%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.45 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 0.67 for Al Raed.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Raed?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 58%, draw 22%, Al Raed 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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