Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 16 Jan 2025

📅16/01/2025 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.0pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-5.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 32%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -3%
1.49/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.21
-48% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
22.4 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Fayha
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.52 xG 1.29
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
364 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Al Fayha Al Fayha 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
20.10.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-2
AWAY Al Fayha
1.14 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
376 Passes 329
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha nicked a narrow win over Al Akhdoud 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Akhdoud at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 53% of the ball to Al Fayha's 47%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.14 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Fayha led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Akhdoud and 2.50 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Fayha?

Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 43%, draw 34%, Al Fayha 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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