Al Fayha 3-0 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
12%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.30/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.91
-16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
17.6 Crosses 20.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 1.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
313 Passes 403
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 40
8 Crosses 28
20.10.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
3-0
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.79 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
330 Passes 325
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha cruised past Al Akhdoud 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Fayha as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Fayha had 50% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 50%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.79 to 1.50.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Fayha 3-0 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fayha win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 41%, draw 28%, Al Akhdoud 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fayha), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Fayha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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