Al Raed 2-0 Al Hazm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -15%
1.86/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.50
+1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.5 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Hazm
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.37 xG 1.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 Passes 280
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Al Hazm Al Hazm 4-3 HT 3-2 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
22.01.2022 Al Hazm Al Hazm 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
25.08.2021 Al Raed Al Raed 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
14.08.2020 Al Raed Al Raed 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
22.11.2019 Al Hazm Al Hazm 2-3 HT 0-2 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
11.04.2019 Al Hazm Al Hazm 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
2-0
AWAY Al Hazm
1.86 xG 0.64
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
169 Passes 453
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 41
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Hazm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Raed got the better of Al Hazm 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Raed as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Raed had 31% of the ball to Al Hazm's 69%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.86 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Raed and 1.67 for Al Hazm.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Hazm?

Al Raed 2-0 Al Hazm in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Hazm?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 44%, draw 27%, Al Hazm 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Raed) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Raed) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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