Muang Thong United 4-0 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 16 Jan 2025

📅16/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.1pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 17%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.10/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.35
+13% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -45%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
351 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.7
18.2 Crosses 8.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rayong FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 0.97
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
345 Passes 173
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Rayong FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
4-0
AWAY Rayong FC
0.92 xG 0.40
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
519 Passes 166
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 3
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United cruised past Rayong FC 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 71% of the ball to Rayong FC's 29%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.92 to 0.40.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Rayong FC?

Muang Thong United 4-0 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 58%, draw 21%, Rayong FC 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
16 Jan 2025
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