Japonya U23 1-1 Ürdün U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 16 Jan 2026

📅16/01/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.3
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.34
6+ Goals
7%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
71%
-6.9pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.1pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.8pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya U23 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Ürdün U23 EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.83/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/0.96
+26% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
15.4 Crosses 15.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya U23
1-1
AWAY Ürdün U23
1.28 xG 0.78
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
633 Passes 286
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Japonya U23 vs Ürdün U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya U23 and Ürdün U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Japonya U23 at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Japonya U23 had 65% of the ball to Ürdün U23's 35%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.28 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Japonya U23 vs Ürdün U23?

Japonya U23 1-1 Ürdün U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya U23 vs Ürdün U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Japonya U23 64%, draw 21%, Ürdün U23 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Japonya U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Japonya U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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