Vietnam U23 3-2 BAE U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 16 Jan 2026

📅16/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
6.02
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.8pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vietnam U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY BAE U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.71/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.35
+150% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +62%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
11.0 Crosses 13.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vietnam U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY BAE U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
10.01.2020 Vietnam U23 Vietnam U23 0-0 HT 0-0 BAE U23 BAE U23 AFCU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vietnam U23
3-2
AWAY BAE U23
2.15 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
459 Passes 509
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vietnam U23 vs BAE U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vietnam U23 nicked a narrow win over BAE U23 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 26% — and on the day Vietnam U23 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vietnam U23 had 48% of the ball to BAE U23's 52%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.15 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Vietnam U23 vs BAE U23?

Vietnam U23 3-2 BAE U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vietnam U23 vs BAE U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vietnam U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vietnam U23 40%, draw 34%, BAE U23 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vietnam U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vietnam U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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