Najma 1-1 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 16 Jan 2026

Najma
1-1 HT 0-1
Al Fateh
📅16/01/2026 · 🕒16:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2025/2026

Najma vs Al Fateh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
9%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.1pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Najma v Al Fateh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Najma EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 53%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
0.29/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.90
-21% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +21%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
12.0 Crosses 22.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
POST-MATCH Najma vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Najma and Al Fateh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fateh at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Najma vs Al Fateh?

Najma 1-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Najma vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Najma 30%, draw 20%, Al Fateh 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Fateh), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
16 Jan 2026
17:45 Al Khaleej vs Al Akhdoud Analysis →
20:30 Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Ettifaq Analysis →