Al Khaleej 4-1 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 16 Jan 2026

📅16/01/2026 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.53
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
13%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 27% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
61%
+8.4pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.5pp
13%
Away Win
17%
-3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.8pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 20%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -18%
2.94/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.30
+85% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.9 Crosses 15.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.01 xG 1.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
311 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
14.03.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
22.09.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
04.04.2022 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD1
22.11.2021 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 3-1 HT 3-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
4-1
AWAY Al Akhdoud
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
510 Passes 278
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej swept aside Al Akhdoud 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Khaleej as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 62% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 38%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Khaleej had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Al Khaleej and 0.80 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Khaleej 4-1 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 70%, draw 18%, Al Akhdoud 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Khaleej), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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