Inter 4-0 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.88
2-3 Goals
38%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.55
6+ Goals
16%
5.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.23
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
34.0
X/1
15%
3.32
X/2
6%
34.0
X/X
7%
11.3
2/1
11%
26.5
2/2
4%
32.0
2/X
7%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Inter win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-15.3pp
20%
Draw
13%
+6.6pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 8%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +16%
2.19/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.04
+7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -7%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
532 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
25.4 Crosses 10.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Salernitana
3.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
2.83 xG 0.71
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
493 Passes 280
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Salernitana Salernitana 0-4 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
07.04.2023 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
16.10.2022 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
04.03.2022 Inter Inter 5-0 HT 2-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
17.12.2021 Salernitana Salernitana 0-5 HT 0-2 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
4-0
AWAY Salernitana
3.99 xG 0.03
73% Ball Possession 27%
26 Total Shots 1
10 Shots on Target 0
18 Corners 0
586 Passes 190
93% Pass Accuracy 76%
44 Box Touches 1
47 Crosses 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter cruised past Salernitana 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Inter had 73% of the ball to Salernitana's 27%, shots finished 26-1, expected goals 3.99 to 0.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.40 goals for Inter and 0.20 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Inter vs Salernitana?

Inter 4-0 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie A on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Inter 66%, draw 20%, Salernitana 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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