Torino 2-0 Lecce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 16 Feb 2024

Torino
2-0 HT 0-0
Lecce
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.25
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.53
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
21%
3.81
X/2
5%
8.14
X/X
14%
3.78
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
30.5
2/2
13%
7.27
2/X
6%
16.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.6pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.39/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.46
-20% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.9 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Lecce
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 0.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
362 Passes 292
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Lecce Lecce 0-1 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTA
12.03.2023 Lecce Lecce 0-2 HT 0-2 Torino Torino İTA
05.09.2022 Torino Torino 1-0 HT 1-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
28.10.2020 Torino Torino 3-1 HT 1-1 Lecce Lecce İTK
02.02.2020 Lecce Lecce 4-0 HT 2-0 Torino Torino İTA
16.09.2019 Torino Torino 1-2 HT 0-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
2-0
AWAY Lecce
1.35 xG 0.46
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
411 Passes 247
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torino vs Lecce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torino got the better of Lecce 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Torino as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Torino had 60% of the ball to Lecce's 40%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.35 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torino had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torino and 1.17 for Lecce.

What was the final score of Torino vs Lecce?

Torino 2-0 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Lecce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Torino 50%, draw 27%, Lecce 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torino), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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