Hannover 96 2-1 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.94
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
11%
5.02
X/2
9%
6.6
X/X
11%
5.05
2/1 EV+ ✓
10%
23.75
2/2
16%
4.32
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.75 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.65/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.59
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.6 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 1.82
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
237 Passes 333
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-3 HT 0-2 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
05.03.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-1 HT 0-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
28.08.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-1 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
27.02.2021 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-2 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
01.11.2020 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 4-1 HT 2-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
09.02.2020 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-3 HT 0-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
2-1
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.31 xG 0.62
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
209 Passes 381
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 squeezed past Greuther Fürth 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hannover 96 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 40% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 60%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.31 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hannover 96 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.67 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Greuther Fürth?

Hannover 96 2-1 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 45%, draw 25%, Greuther Fürth 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hannover 96), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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