Ried 0-2 Floridsdorfer AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.7
6+ Goals
12%
15.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.7 — our 25% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.43
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
18%
4.05
X/2
13%
8.02
X/X
14%
4.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.6
2/2
6%
6.28
2/X
7%
14.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.6 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Floridsdorfer AC EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.89/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.38
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
27.4 Crosses 10.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Floridsdorfer AC
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
161 Passes 262
59% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.07.2023 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 1-1 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AU2
31.07.2020 Ried Ried 9-0 HT 5-0 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AU2
08.11.2019 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 1-2 HT 1-2 Ried Ried AU2
12.04.2019 Ried Ried 3-0 HT 1-0 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AU2
14.09.2018 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AU2
23.04.2018 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 2-4 HT 1-2 Ried Ried AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ried
0-2
AWAY Floridsdorfer AC
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ried vs Floridsdorfer AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floridsdorfer AC saw off Ried 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ried at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ried had 63% of the ball to Floridsdorfer AC's 37%, shots finished 15-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Ried and 0.83 for Floridsdorfer AC.

What was the final score of Ried vs Floridsdorfer AC?

Ried 0-2 Floridsdorfer AC in the Austria - 1st Division on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Floridsdorfer AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ried 48%, draw 27%, Floridsdorfer AC 25%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ried) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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