SV Horn 0-3 Leoben — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.42
6+ Goals
8%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 32% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.59
1/2
4%
25.0
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
13%
6.48
X/2
10%
4.75
X/X
13%
4.67
2/1
10%
32.5
2/2
21%
2.97
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Horn EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Leoben EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.36/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.99
+9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 72%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.7 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Horn
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Leoben
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Corners 5
28.07.2023 Leoben Leoben 3-2 HT 1-2 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Horn
0-3
AWAY Leoben
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 5
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH SV Horn vs Leoben
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leoben ran out comfortable winners over SV Horn 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Leoben made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, SV Horn had 37% of the ball to Leoben's 63%, shots finished 3-5.

What was the final score of SV Horn vs Leoben?

SV Horn 0-3 Leoben in the Austria - 1st Division on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Horn vs Leoben?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Horn win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split SV Horn 36%, draw 28%, Leoben 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
16 Feb 2024
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