Swan United 4-5 Murdoch Uni Melville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - West State League Gece Serisi, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.89
Draw
36%
3.18
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
49%
-13.9pp
36%
Draw
28%
+7.7pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swan United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Murdoch Uni Melville EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Swan United vs Murdoch Uni Melville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Murdoch Uni Melville squeezed past Swan United 5-4 away from home. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 36% / 29%) promised a tight game; Murdoch Uni Melville found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Swan United vs Murdoch Uni Melville?

Swan United 4-5 Murdoch Uni Melville in the Australia - West State League Gece Serisi on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swan United vs Murdoch Uni Melville?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Swan United 35%, draw 36%, Murdoch Uni Melville 29%. The final score 4-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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