Valerenga 1-3 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.55
No
59%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-9.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
60%
-19.7pp
59%
BTTS No
40%
+19.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 46%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
11 Corners 8
01.10.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 0-2 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
06.05.2012 Valerenga Valerenga 3-2 HT 3-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
31.10.2011 Valerenga Valerenga 1-2 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
16.05.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-1 HT 2-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
12.09.2009 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-1 HT 1-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
16.05.2009 Valerenga Valerenga 2-1 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad beat Valerenga 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Fredrikstad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Valerenga and 2.00 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?

Valerenga 1-3 Fredrikstad in the Friendlies on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 40%, draw 26%, Fredrikstad 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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