Lilleström 2-2 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Feb 2024

Lilleström
2-2 HT 0-1
Sandefjord
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Lilleström vs Sandefjord Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
9%
7.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.5pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.5pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lilleström v Sandefjord — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.73/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.52
-6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Lilleström vs Sandefjord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sandefjord
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.76 xG 1.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
306 Passes 343
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-0 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
16.07.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 4-2 HT 3-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
21.08.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 3-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
21.05.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-4 HT 1-3 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
12.12.2021 Lilleström Lilleström 2-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
08.08.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-1 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström and Sandefjord couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lilleström at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Lilleström and 0.83 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Sandefjord?

Lilleström 2-2 Sandefjord in the Friendlies on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 47%, draw 32%, Sandefjord 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lilleström), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lilleström) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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