PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heracles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 16 Feb 2024

PSV Eindhoven
2-0 HT 1-0
Heracles
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
4.58
Over 2.5
74%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.96
No
40%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
11.35
2-3 Goals
29%
2.69
4-5 Goals
39%
2.27
6+ Goals
19%
3.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.12
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
34.0
X/1
18%
3.71
X/2
6%
34.0
X/X
5%
18.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
22.05
2/2
7%
34.0
2/X
4%
34.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.05 — our 13% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.3pp
17%
Draw
10%
+6.3pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.0pp
26%
Under 2.5
18%
+7.1pp
74%
Over 2.5
82%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
47%
+12.6pp
40%
BTTS No
53%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSV Eindhoven v Heracles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Heracles EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
2.79/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.56
+16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +2%
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
464 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
42.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
23.1 Crosses 10.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Heracles
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.20 xG 0.76
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
538 Passes 269
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1-1 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HAZ
04.11.2023 Heracles Heracles 0-6 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
06.03.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
14.08.2021 Heracles Heracles 0-2 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
04.04.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
27.09.2020 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL

PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heracles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
2-0
AWAY Heracles
4.08 xG 0.17
79% Ball Possession 21%
39 Total Shots 3
14 Shots on Target 0
15 Corners 0
711 Passes 125
93% Pass Accuracy 60%
84 Box Touches 6
52 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven saw off Heracles 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 79% of the ball to Heracles's 21%, shots finished 39-3, expected goals 4.08 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.50 for Heracles.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles?

PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 66%, draw 17%, Heracles 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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