Radomiak Radom 0-4 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 16 Feb 2024

Radomiak Radom
0-4 HT 0-3
Pogon Szczecin
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
8%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.03
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
13%
6.93
X/2
14%
4.59
X/X
9%
4.56
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
19%
2.81
2/X
10%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Radomiak Radom v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +5%
1.32/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.01
-16% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
19.6 Crosses 19.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
1.10 xG 1.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
232 Passes 358
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-2 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
27.05.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
13.11.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-2 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
04.03.2022 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
13.09.2021 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL

Radomiak Radom 0-4 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
0-4
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
0.71 xG 3.31
22% Ball Possession 78%
7 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 13
117 Passes 634
65% Pass Accuracy 89%
5 Box Touches 48
7 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Szczecin cruised past Radomiak Radom 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Pogon Szczecin made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 22% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 78%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 0.71 to 3.31.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Radomiak Radom and 2.20 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin?

Radomiak Radom 0-4 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 30%, draw 30%, Pogon Szczecin 40%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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