Slask Wroclaw 0-1 Stal Mielec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.25
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.1
X/1
19%
3.79
X/2
8%
9.36
X/X
10%
4.34
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
9%
7.92
2/X
10%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.05/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.45
-14% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
18.8 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slask Wroclaw
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stal Mielec
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 3-1 HT 1-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
18.03.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 1-1 HT 1-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
03.09.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2-0 HT 1-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
15.05.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-1 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
27.11.2021 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-1 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
16.05.2021 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 1-1 HT 1-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slask Wroclaw
0-1
AWAY Stal Mielec
1.14 xG 0.22
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
472 Passes 286
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 6
31 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slask Wroclaw vs Stal Mielec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec nicked a narrow win over Slask Wroclaw 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Slask Wroclaw at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Slask Wroclaw had 59% of the ball to Stal Mielec's 41%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.14 to 0.22 — the balance of chances actually favoured Slask Wroclaw.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stal Mielec led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slask Wroclaw and 1.50 for Stal Mielec.

What was the final score of Slask Wroclaw vs Stal Mielec?

Slask Wroclaw 0-1 Stal Mielec in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slask Wroclaw vs Stal Mielec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slask Wroclaw win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Slask Wroclaw 51%, draw 25%, Stal Mielec 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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