Slovan Liberec 3-1 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -21%
1.81/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.45
-3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.7 Crosses 18.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.48 xG 0.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
197 Passes 396
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
29.06.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-1 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav HAZ
25.11.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
01.11.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEKK
30.07.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 0-2 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
12.03.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 4-0 HT 3-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
3-1
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.07 xG 2.41
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 11
221 Passes 300
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Liberec got the better of Mlada Boleslav 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Slovan Liberec made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 41% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 59%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.07 to 2.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slovan Liberec and 1.50 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav?

Slovan Liberec 3-1 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 40%, draw 27%, Mlada Boleslav 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovan Liberec), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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