Halmstad 4-0 Gefle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
78%
-17.2pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.2pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.8pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Gefle EU Bookmakers 9%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.16/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.08
-54% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
468 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gefle
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
11.08.2018 Halmstad Halmstad 1-2 HT 0-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
07.05.2018 Gefle Gefle 1-3 HT 0-2 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ2
27.07.2015 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ
18.04.2015 Gefle Gefle 0-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
26.07.2014 Halmstad Halmstad 3-2 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ
19.07.2014 Gefle Gefle 2-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
4-0
AWAY Gefle
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs Gefle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halmstad cruised past Gefle 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Halmstad as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Halmstad had 59% of the ball to Gefle's 41%, shots finished 9-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gefle led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Halmstad and 1.33 for Gefle.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs Gefle?

Halmstad 4-0 Gefle in the Sweden - Cup on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs Gefle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Halmstad win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 60%, draw 22%, Gefle 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Halmstad), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Halmstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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