Elfsborg 3-1 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.2
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
14%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.8pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.47/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.04/2.52
+4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Örgryte
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Örgryte Örgryte 3-2 HT 1-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇK
10.02.2018 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte HAZ
18.02.2014 Örgryte Örgryte 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg HAZ
28.10.2009 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
06.07.2009 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ
26.09.2006 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
3-1
AWAY Örgryte
52% Ball Possession 48%
25 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg beat Örgryte 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Elfsborg had 52% of the ball to Örgryte's 48%, shots finished 25-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Elfsborg and 0.67 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Örgryte?

Elfsborg 3-1 Örgryte in the Sweden - Cup on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 62%, draw 22%, Örgryte 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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