Örgryte 3-2 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 24 Feb 2024

Örgryte
3-2 HT 1-2
Elfsborg
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Sweden - Cup – 2023/2024

Örgryte vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.48
2-3 Goals
47%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
8%
8.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
38%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
12%
+10.8pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.6pp
54%
Away Win
70%
-16.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örgryte v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 75%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -18%
0.33/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.68
-53% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +2%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Örgryte vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Elfsborg
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
10.02.2018 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte HAZ
18.02.2014 Örgryte Örgryte 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg HAZ
28.10.2009 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
06.07.2009 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ
26.09.2006 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ
03.05.2006 Örgryte Örgryte 0-2 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ

Örgryte 3-2 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
3-2
AWAY Elfsborg
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte nicked a narrow win over Elfsborg 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Elfsborg at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Örgryte had 38% of the ball to Elfsborg's 62%, shots finished 10-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Örgryte and 1.67 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Elfsborg?

Örgryte 3-2 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Cup on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 23%, draw 23%, Elfsborg 54%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Elfsborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5
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