Örebro vs Kalmar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Örebro v Kalmar — Team-Based Signals
Örebro vs Kalmar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Kalmar
İSÇ
1-0
HT 0-0
Örebro
İSÇ
0-1
HT 0-1
Kalmar
İSÇ
0-3
HT 0-1
Örebro
İSÇ
1-1
HT 0-0
Örebro
İSÇ
1-1
HT 0-0
Kalmar
İSÇ
Örebro 1-0 Kalmar — Actual Match Statistics
Örebro squeezed past Kalmar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kalmar at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Örebro had 49% of the ball to Kalmar's 51%, shots finished 6-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Örebro and 1.00 for Kalmar.
What was the final score of Örebro vs Kalmar?
Örebro 1-0 Kalmar in the Sweden - Cup on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Örebro vs Kalmar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Örebro 24%, draw 20%, Kalmar 55%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.