Varbergs 1-4 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 24 Feb 2024

Varbergs
1-4 HT 1-2
Östers
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Cup – 2023/2024

Varbergs vs Östers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.59
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varbergs v Östers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 42%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
0.41/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.89/0.89
-71% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Varbergs vs Östers Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Östers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.12
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
164 Passes 364
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 34
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
13.11.2022 Varbergs Varbergs 2-1 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İsveç - Allsvenskan - Play-out
10.11.2022 Östers Östers 1-2 HT 1-1 Varbergs Varbergs İsveç - Allsvenskan - Play-out
28.02.2022 Varbergs Varbergs 1-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇK
04.03.2018 Östers Östers 2-1 HT 0-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇK

Varbergs 1-4 Östers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs
1-4
AWAY Östers
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers ran out comfortable winners over Varbergs 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Östers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Varbergs had 42% of the ball to Östers's 58%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Varbergs had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Varbergs and 1.00 for Östers.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs Östers?

Varbergs 1-4 Östers in the Sweden - Cup on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 33%, draw 30%, Östers 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇK More Sweden - Cup
24 Feb 2024
15:00 Degerfors vs GAIS Analysis →
15:00 Örgryte vs Elfsborg Analysis →
15:00 IFK Lulea vs Malmö FF Analysis →
17:00 Örebro vs Kalmar Analysis →
17:15 AIK vs Gefle Analysis →