Real Madrid (K) 3-2 Badalona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.18
Draw
33%
5.71
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
80%
-46.3pp
33%
Draw
14%
+19.2pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+27.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.59/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/3.12
-3% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
40.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.1 Crosses 12.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Badalona (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 0.16
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 Passes 193
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2024 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) 1-3 HT 1-0 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
3-2
AWAY Badalona (K)
2.23 xG 1.90
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
540 Passes 168
87% Pass Accuracy 61%
38 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Badalona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) nicked a narrow win over Badalona (K) 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 69% of the ball to Badalona (K)'s 31%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.23 to 1.90.

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 3-2 Badalona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Badalona (K) 33%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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