Newells Old Boys 1-2 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
1.81
2-3 Goals
48%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
6.84
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.99
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.35
X/1
7%
5.84
X/2
12%
4.97
X/X
21%
3.11
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.91
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.0pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-8.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
39%
+12.0pp
49%
BTTS No
61%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.11/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.18
+10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.4 Crosses 18.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newells Old Boys
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rosario Central
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.79 xG 0.69
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
242 Passes 158
71% Pass Accuracy 62%
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
26.02.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
30.09.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
09.04.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
21.07.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
20.03.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-1 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newells Old Boys
1-2
AWAY Rosario Central
1.20 xG 0.63
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 5
276 Passes 113
81% Pass Accuracy 60%
22 Box Touches 14
43 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central nicked a narrow win over Newells Old Boys 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 34% / 36% — and on the day Rosario Central made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newells Old Boys had 66% of the ball to Rosario Central's 34%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.20 to 0.63 — the balance of chances actually favoured Newells Old Boys.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosario Central led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Newells Old Boys and 0.67 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?

Newells Old Boys 1-2 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 30%, draw 34%, Rosario Central 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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