Newells Old Boys 0-1 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

Newells Old Boys
0-1 HT 0-0
Rosario Central
📅26/02/2024 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.41
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.03
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.4
X/1
15%
4.13
X/2
7%
7.01
X/X
17%
3.4
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
11%
6.29
2/X
7%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.0pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newells Old Boys v Rosario Central — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.06/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.38
-24% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 68%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.7 Crosses 19.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newells Old Boys
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rosario Central
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
250 Passes 190
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
09.04.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
21.07.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
20.03.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-1 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
22.08.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-1 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
03.05.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-0 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ

Newells Old Boys 0-1 Rosario Central — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newells Old Boys
0-1
AWAY Rosario Central
1.02 xG 0.26
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
245 Passes 107
76% Pass Accuracy 59%
28 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central edged past Newells Old Boys 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Newells Old Boys at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Newells Old Boys had 65% of the ball to Rosario Central's 35%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.02 to 0.26 — the balance of chances actually favoured Newells Old Boys.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosario Central led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Newells Old Boys and 1.00 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?

Newells Old Boys 0-1 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newells Old Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 42%, draw 31%, Rosario Central 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Newells Old Boys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newells Old Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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