Lanus 1-1 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.44
No
65%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.91
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
15%
7.19
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.93
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.2
X/1
5%
3.98
X/2
10%
7.41
X/X
19%
3.25
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
10%
6.91
2/X
10%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.1pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
37%
-1.9pp
65%
BTTS No
63%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.58/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.23
+18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
20.8 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Banfield
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.75 xG 0.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 Passes 204
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 5
01.10.2023 Banfield Banfield 1-0 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
17.07.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-2 HT 1-1 Banfield Banfield ARJ
19.09.2022 Banfield Banfield 1-2 HT 0-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
19.03.2022 Lanus Lanus 0-1 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
17.10.2021 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 0-1 Banfield Banfield ARJ
20.03.2021 Banfield Banfield 2-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
1-1
AWAY Banfield
0.81 xG 0.98
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
371 Passes 205
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus and Banfield shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 35% / 25%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Lanus had 60% of the ball to Banfield's 40%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.81 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banfield led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lanus and 1.33 for Banfield.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Banfield?

Lanus 1-1 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lanus 40%, draw 35%, Banfield 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lanus), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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