Sydney II 3-1 Sydney United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
32%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.1pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney United EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.90/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.38
+44% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.6 Crosses 15.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sydney United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
337 Passes 379
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Sydney United Sydney United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
26.04.2024 Sydney II Sydney II 0-2 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
30.06.2023 Sydney II Sydney II 1-0 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
19.03.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
17.07.2022 Sydney II Sydney II 0-1 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
01.05.2022 Sydney United Sydney United 1-6 HT 0-3 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney II vs Sydney United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney II saw off Sydney United 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sydney II and 0.67 for Sydney United.

What was the final score of Sydney II vs Sydney United?

Sydney II 3-1 Sydney United in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney II vs Sydney United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sydney II 25%, draw 27%, Sydney United 48%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
16 Feb 2025
08:30 Charlestown City Blues vs Weston Bears Analysis →
09:10 Central Coast II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Analysis →
10:30 Lambton Jaffas vs New Lambton FC Analysis →